Normally on a setup like tomorrow I would not even be considering not chasing but tomorrow's entertainment could come in the form of watching this:
Spotternetwork is a website where chasers can show there positions while chasing using GPS. Tomorrows will be interesting because I imagine the number of chasers hitting this will be huge for several reasons:

1. It is May 10th and so far this year all of the good tornado days outside of 1 or 2 have all been in the eastern states.
2. Many chasers are still waiting to see their first tornado this year except for the few people who were in Osage Co. or Lamesa TX and maybe a few other odd ball events.
3. Next week does not look that good which only leaves 2 weeks of May chasing and then the storm season usually ends unless you want to drive to South Dakota.
4. Everyone got an early heads up with SPC putting out a Moderate Risk on there day 2 outlook.
5. Arkansas is a central point for plains chasers, southeast chasers and a few northcentral chasers.
   

The entertaining part come from the fact that Arkansas does not have a gridded road network like TX,OK,KS so almost everyone will be jockeying for position along interstate 40, this includes all of the chasers and tours groups that are not even part of spotternetwork. Also factor in that all tour groups are in full force right now with van loads of people and this could be the only show this week. If things move east of Little Rock then everyone can kind of spread out due to the terrain but it a single supercell tracks anywhere near I-40 it is going to be total chaser gridlock. Most chasers except for the real die hards would not even be considering chasing this due to terrain but with the way this year has gone I have not doubt everyone will be there. As far as chasing goes of course I will be out there but I just hope stuff can fire a little further west towards Hwy 75/69 so I don't have to venture into Arkansas.

Edit 3:00pm: Holy crap! I forgot about the fact that tomorrow is Saturday, that will probably add another couple of hundred chasers to the mix that other wise would not have been able to chase! SPC did move the risk area back to the west which is good. With he area they have outlined at this point I would not be surprised to see storms fire west of Tulsa tomorrow.

Got up today and saw a slight risk out in western Kansas and figured since it is May I might as well go check it out. Thunderstorm Watch box went up way early and even though I was hoping for a tornado watch it was still in western Kansas and sure enough the first storm that went up started dropping tornado's, I was still pretty far off and figured everything would cluster up before I got there. Much to my surprise that cell stayed tornado warned for almost 4 hours even though it did not drop anymore after the first ones. Finally caught up with it way further than I wanted to go and it was still tornado warned but did not have much left to it. Did drive through a hail path and saw a few busted windshields. Dropped into Pratt and let it run over me.

For the 5th time this year I got lured out of Tulsa by an SPC moderate risk with pretty good tornado probabilities only to be sitting in the middle of a Tornado Watch box looking at nothing except severe storms firing near Tulsa. It kind of stinks knowing that if I would just start blowing off great setups and staying home that I would end up seeing better storms in the end but I also know the first time I attempt this it would probably not work out like the other five times. The graphic below shows that tornado reports still continue to sky rocket this year and yet tornado video out of the central plains has almost been non-existent except for 3 or 4 events this year. One event in Texas this year has produced tornado video that got national play, 2 events in Oklahoma have produced tornado video that has gotten national play and Kansas has yet to see any tornado video so far this year. That is not that impressive when you consider the number of chasers, choppers and video cameras and not to mention the millions of gallons of gas that have been used hahaha!

A few photo's from yesterday.

After not being able chase yesterday I am going to take a shot at today's potential down south even though it does not look all that great. May is the peak month for chasing and this will bring the first week to a close and the following week does not look like it holds a lot as far as good setups. If the sun can pop out down south later today for a couple of hours then this setup could be really interesting, if it does not then it will just end up being a long rainy drive.

Can't chase todays setup out west which might end up being the better one. Tomorrow was looking almost perfect 4 days ago which is usually a bad thing because that means by the time is arrives it usually goes to crap. Still could be some what interesting in the early afternoon towards NC Okla and then later way down in SE Okla but will have to wait and see how those work out. Another shot a some stuff around here on Saturday and then after that it will be the final 3 weeks of May to look forward to.

Occasionally during the Spring the wind in Oklahoma will die down enough to let you enjoy doing things outside, that is after you have replaced your shingles on the roof and repaired your fences. The last couple of evenings have been really nice with cool temps and no wind and last night we built a little campfire and had a wiener roast. About a mile from my house is a site for everyones ice storm debris so I have a lifetime supply of camping firewood until they decide to haul that stuff off. Next storm system is coming in so it is probably going to start getting windy over the next few days.

The links below are not made up, they are real and the wording used is actually what I found when looking these forecast up. Active 2006, Very Active 2007 and now Super-Active 2008!!!!!!! What will they come up with next year? Super Duper Active Hurricane Season for 2009!!!! I think some of this forecasting has a little bit of the "Katrina effect" in it and they will probably just put active forecast out for the next 10-20 years just to be on the safe side, I would really be surprised to see a "less active" type forecast when that leaves them opened to get burned, even when it is not that active like on 2006, 2007 nobody really goes back and questions the accuracy of these forecast anyways.

Super-Active 2008 Atlantic Hurricane Season Predicted
Very Active 2007 Hurricane Season Predicted
Active 2006 Hurricane Season Predicted